Category Archives: Football

Analysis of BYU’s Defense — Strength of Schedule


BYU is currently 17th in the nation in total defense.  A common response from the fan base is ‘yeah, but their strength of schedule is poor’.  Let’s look at how BYU did at limiting opposing offenses, relative to the other teams.

Opponent Yds Allowed Rank
Ole Miss 214 5
Texas 289 4
Utah 481 12
UCF 399 7
USU 406 4
SJSU 325 4
OSU 365 6
ISU 251 4
TCU 283 1
Idaho 241 3
NMSU 249 1
Hawaii 299 2

On average, BYU has held their opponent to the 4th fewest yards they’ve gained this season. Utah is the big outlier, otherwise BYU has held every other opponent at or below their average except for UCF.

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Week 10 stat list update


CAREER PASSING YARDS

Riley Nelson‘s 56 passing yards vs. Idaho were enough to pass up Eldon ‘The Phantom’ Fortie for 27th in career passing at BYU.

SEASON PASSING YARDS

Last week Nelson passed up Jake Heaps in passing for the season. This week, Heaps passed up Nelson.

CAREER RUSHING

It was a bad week for the Phantom. JJ DiLuigi passed him to move into 11th in career rushing yards.

CAREER RECEIVING

One catch was enough to move McKay Jacobson into a tie with Jay Miller for 25th.

JJ DiLuigi has the same number of receptions in his career (86) as Luke Staley (and Daniel Coats, and Scott Pettis).

CAREER RECEIVING YARDS

Jacobson moved up one spot to 17th, ahead of Jonny Harline.

CAREER TACKLES

Jordan Pendleton finished his career in the 111th spot for career tackles at BYU with 130.

CAREER TOTAL OFFENSE

Jake Heaps moved in to 16th place, passing Marc Lyons.

INTERCEPTIONS

So far, the team is averaging 1.3 interceptions per game. That would be the highest average since 2006.

CAREER QB RATING

Heaps’ rating moved up a bit from 110.3 to 112.7, Nelson’s also increased from 147.7 to 148.6. Heaps’ career rating compares with Jason Beck and Bret Engemann. Nelson’s is similar to Robbie Bosco and John Walsh.

SEASON QB RATING

Nelson’s rating for 2011 (159.7) is identical to Brandon Doman‘s rating in 2001.

TEAM SCORING

A good thumping of Idaho lifted BYU’s points-per-game margin from +3.6 to +6.7.

PAT

If Justin Sorensen can go three more games without missing an extra point he will have the BYU record from most PATs without a miss in a season.

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Analysis of TE Use in 2011


One of the topics of discussion during the 2010 season and subsequent offseason was the dropoff in production at TE — a position that has consistently been a very productive area for BYU over the years. In 2010, BYU TEs registered 34 receptions for a total of 451 yards. BYU QBs completed a total of 243 passes in 2010, so the 34 receptions represents 14% of all completions last year.

In 2011, the productivity has improved, but still isn’t on par with recent historical norms. In 9 games, BYU TEs have 40 receptions for 474 yards and have caught 22.5% (40 of 178) of all completions. However, a closer look shows that the TE production has dropped off since Riley Nelson took over as QB. Jake Heaps completed 25.0% (27 of 108) of his passes to TEs compared to Riley Nelson’s 18.6% (13 of 70).  Here is a breakdown by game for each QB:

Jake Heaps

Opp Rec Yds
Miss 4 44
Texas 7 88
Utah 5 64
UCF 5 49
USU 5 41
ISU 1 10
Totals 27 296

Riley Nelson

Opp Rec Yds
Utah 1 12
USU 3 27
SJSU 4 82
OSU 3 30
ISU 1 18
TCU 1 9
Totals 13 178

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Pass Efficiency Differential Wins Championships


Yesterday’s blog touched on the importance of offensive pass efficiency and its effect on wins and losses.  The power of the pass efficiency statistic is increased by taking the difference between a team’s offensive and defensive pass efficiency.  This is called the Pass Efficiency Differential (PED).  The top 6 teams in this week’s AP Top 25 are all in the top 10 nationally in PED.

AP Rank Team PED Rank
1 LSU 4
2 Oklahoma St. 10
3 Stanford 8
4 Alabama 6
5 Boise St. 2
6 Oregon 9

 

This is far from a fluky result. Note the PED rankings of the national champions since 2000.

Season Champion PED Rank
2000 Oklahoma 6
2001 Miami (FL) 2
2002 Ohio State 12
2003 LSU 3
2004 USC 4
2005 Texas 1
2006 Florida 6
2007 LSU 8
2008 Florida 2
2009 Alabama 5
2010 Auburn 7
Average 5.1

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Pass Efficiency: The Key To Victory


Pass efficiency is an enigmatic formula that tries to combine various statistical measures into a meaningful whole. The formula is:

Pass Efficiency = Completion% + (8.4 * YdsPerAttempt) + (330 * TDsPerAttempt) – (200 * INTsPerAttempt)

On average, completion percentage and yards per attempt account for 93% of the total pass efficiency measure.  If teams can maximize these aspects of their passing game, they will win a very high percentage of the time.  For example, since 2001, BYU is 51-2 in games where they completed at least 62% of their passes and averaged at least 7.4 yards per attempt, as shown below:

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Week 9 stat list update


Once again, with a young team, there isn’t a lot of movement near the top of the stat lists right now. I’ll try to avoid mentioning the overly obscure, like Michael Alisa at No. 83 in career rushing ahead of Ken Call and Kent Oborn.

SEASON PASSING

For the first time this season, Riley Nelson has more passing yards that Jake Heaps.

SEASON QB RATING

Nelson now has more than the 100 attempts needed to show up on the season rating list. His rating for this year dropped from 174.5 to — between Brandon Doman  ’01 and Max Hall ’08.

 QB RATING

Matt Marshall’s career passer rating took a hit. With a single incomplete pass, his rating dropped from 188.2 to 125.5.

RUSHING

With four games left, JJ DiLuigi needs 326 yards to bump Brian McKenzie out of the top 10 in career rushing.

QB RUSHING

Nelson passes Doman for third in QB rushing.

 SEASON QB RUSHING

Nelson has the 6th most rushing yards for a QB in a season, passing Virgil Carter ’66

RECEIVING YARDS

In his Sophomore year, Hoffman is already 54th in career receiving yards, passing Jeff Frandsen, Rod Wilkerson, Tyler Anderson, Toby Christensen and Matt Allen.

 TEAM SCORING

BYU’s scoring margin dropped from +5.3 to +3.6.

PENALTIES

The team is averaging 5.7 penalties for 48.0 yards per game. The only season in the past 35 years with fewer penalties or yards is 2010.

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NFL players vs. BYU


SHAUN ALEXANDER – Alabama
9/5/98 Alabama 38, BYU 31
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
26 115 5 37
JAMAL ANDERSON – Utah
11/20/93 Utah 34, BYU 31
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
32 149 3 146 1 25
RECEIVING
No. Yards TD Long
3 21 1 9
JEROME BETTIS – Notre Dame
10/24/92 Notre Dame 42, BYU 16
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
21 113 0 113 2 18
RECEIVING
No. Yards TD Long
2 23 0 17
KYLE BOLER – Cal
10/9/99 BYU 38, Cal 28
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
33 11 1 173 1
9/8/01 BYU 44, Cal 16
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
33 19 1 242 1
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
13 42 0
STEVE BONO – UCLA
10/1/83 BYU 37, UCLA 35
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
34 25 0 399 3 58 8
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
15 55 54 1 1 22
SAM BRADFORD – Oklahoma
9/5/09 BYU 14, Oklahoma 13
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
10 14 0 96 1 18 0
REGGIE BUSH – USC
9/6/03 USC 35, BYU 18
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
6 22 3 19 0 7
9/18/04 USC 42, BYU 10
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
14 130 6 124 1 66
RECEIVING
No. Yards TD Long
4 42 1 21
KERRY COLLINS – Penn State
10/31/92 BYU 30, Penn State 17
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
54 28 0 317 1 36 1
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
5 13 10 3 0 7
ANDY DALTON – TCU
11/8/07 BYU 27, TCU 22
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
30 18 1 165 1 17 2
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
12 78 18 60 0 15
10/16/08 TCU 32, BYU 7
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
19 12 0 170 2 25 0
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
6 20 1 19 0 11
10/24/09 TCU 38, BYU 7
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
24 13 0 241 3 75 2
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
7 26 15 11 0 7
10/16/10 TCU 31, BYU 3
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
36 24 0 273 4 2
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
7 16 0
ERIC DICKERSON – SMU
12/19/80 BYU 46, SMU 45
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
23 110 2
RECEIVING
No. Yards TD Long
1 5 0
TRENT DILFER – Fresno State
10/10/92 BYU 36, Fresno State 24
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
38 17 2 288 1 54 4
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
7 73 27 46 0 56
10/23/93 Fresno State 48, BYU 45
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
34 21 0 456 4 72 1
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
6 3 31 -28 0 2
JASON ELAM – Hawaii
9/26/92 BYU 35, Hawaii 18
KICKING
Field Goals PAT
Att Made Long Att Made
1 1 46 1 1
9/26/92 Hawaii 36, BYU 32
KICKING
Field Goals PAT
Att Made Long Att Made
4 3 56 3 3
PUNTING
No. Yards Avg. Long
3 139 46.3 61
MARSHALL FAULK – San Diego State
11/16/91 BYU 52, San Diego State 52
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
20 119 1 118 2 21
RECEIVING
No. Yards TD Long
6 116 2 80
9/10/92 San Diego State 54, BYU 38
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
35 315 16 299 3 63
RECEIVING
No. Yards TD Long
1 3 0 9
11/11/93 San Diego State 54, BYU 38
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
32 261 9 252 2 71
RECEIVING
No. Yards TD Long
2 39 0 23
NICK FOLK – Arizona
9/2/06 Arizona 16, BYU 13
KICKING
Field Goals PAT
Att Made Long Att Made
4 3 48 1 1
MATT LEINART – USC
9/6/03 USC 35, BYU 18
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
34 19 3 235 3 48 4
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
7 18 22 -4 0 12
9/18/04 USC 42, BYU 10
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
35 22 1 236 2 24 2
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
7 27 17 10 1 9
MARSHAWN LYNCH – Cal
12/22/05 Cal 35, BYU 28
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
24 194 3
RECEIVING
No. Yards TD Long
2 27 0
TERANCE MATHIS – New Mexico
9/2/89 BYU 24, New Mexico 3
RECEIVING
No. Yards TD Long
8 108 0 23
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
1 8 0 8 0 8
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
1 0 1 0 0 0 0
SCOTT MITCHELL – Utah
11/21/87 BYU 21, Utah 18
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
14 6 0 76 0 26 0
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
1 2 0 2 0 2
11/19/88 Utah 57, BYU 48
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
30 21 1 384 3 62 0
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
4 19 3 16 0 13
JAKE PLUMMER – Arizona State
10/29/94 Arizona State 36, BYU 15
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
25 15 0 327 3 1
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
5 26 0
10/14/95 Arizona State 29, BYU 21
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
28 22 0 177 2
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
4 19 3 16 0 13
MATT RYAN – Boston College
9/16/06 Boston College 30, BYU 23 OT
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
48 29 2 356 2 79 1
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
5 19 16 3 1 10
BRADY QUINN – Notre Dame
9/4/04 BYU 20, Notre Dame 17
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
47 26 0 265 1 54 3
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
5 9 22 -13 0 8
ALEX SMITH – Utah
11/22/03 Utah 3, BYU 0
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
19 11 1 113 0
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
23 0 55 0
11/20/04 Utah 52, BYU 21
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
24 16 2 184 1 30 2
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
14 52 18 34 1 13
MIKE TOMCZAK – Ohio State
12/17/82 Ohio State 47, BYU 17
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
19 11 1 341 2
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
8 25 1
TOM TUPA – Ohio State
12/28/85 Ohio State 10, BYU 7
PUNTING
No. Yards Avg. Long
8 308 38.6 51
ERIC WEDDLE – Utah
11/22/03 Utah 3, BYU 0
DEFENSE
Solo Ast Tot TFL/Yds FF FR-Yd Intc BrUp Blkd Sack/Yds QH
2 1 3 1 1-0
11/20/04 Utah 52, BYU 21
DEFENSE
Solo Ast Tot TFL/Yds FF FR-Yd Intc BrUp Blkd Sack/Yds QH
4 4 8 1 1-0
PUNT RETURNS
No. Yds. Long
1 60 60
11/19/05 Utah 41, BYU 34
DEFENSE
Solo Ast Tot TFL/Yds FF FR-Yd Intc BrUp Blkd Sack/Yds QH
4 1 5
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
3 10 0
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
1 0 0 0 0 0 0
11/25/06 BYU 33, Utah 31
DEFENSE
Solo Ast Tot TFL/Yds FF FR-Yd Intc BrUp Blkd Sack/Yds QH
5 4 9
RUSHING
Att Gain Lost Net TD Long
7 25 1 24 0 7
PASSING
Att Comp Int Yards TD Long Sack
1 1 0 18 1 18 0

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Week 8 stat list update


Weak opponents add up to a lot of stats.

PASSING

Riley Nelson passes the 1,000 yard mark for his career

Jake Heaps moves up to 16th in career passing yards, passing up KSL color man Marc Lyons.

SEASON PASSING

Heaps passes the 1,000 yard mark for the season

QB RUSHING

Nelson is less than 100 yards from OC Brandon Doman‘s third place

SEASON QB RUSHING

Nelson is 7th in QB rushing yards in a season, passing Steve Young ’81 and Jim McMahon ’78

RECEIVING YARDS

McKay Jacobsen passes up two guys named Todd to move into 18th place in career receiving yards — Tod Thompson and Todd Watkins

Cody Hoffman became the 60th player in BYU history to record 1,000 receiving yards

QB RATING

Nelson’s rating improved from 144.9 to 155.2. A little better than Brandon Doman, a little worse than Jim McMahon.

TEAM SCORING

The blowout win vs. Idaho State increased BYU’s ppg margin from -1.6 to +5.3

COACHING

Coach Mendenhall gets his 62nd win. Only 195 from Coach Edwards!

Several players appeared on the stat lists for the first time this week:

Nelson and Joshua Quezada got their first rushing TDs of the season

Ryan Folsom rushed for the first time of the season

Dallin Cutler made the first catch of his career. Now he’s only 96 receptions away from his dad Chuck.

Daniel Sorensen scored the first touchdown of his career.

Jordan Johnson got his first interception.

Marcus Mathews, Aveni Leung-Wai, Simonte Vea recorded their first  tackle of the season.

Alani Fua, Seth Probert, Chase Pendley, DeQuan Everett each recorded his first career tackles.

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Week 7 stat list update


Rushing

JJ DiLuigi moved up to 13th place in career rushing, passing up Fred Whittingham and Casey Tiumalu.

QB Rushing Season

Riley Nelson has rushed for more yards this season than any BYU QB not named Doman, Carter, Young or McMahon.

QB Rating

Nelson’s career rating: A little better than Ryan Hancock, a little worse than Gifford Nielsen.

Scoring

JJ has scored 18 TDs in his career — same as Fui Vakapuna and Virgil Carter.

PAT

Justin Sorensen is 20 for 20 in his career. 18 for 18 this season.

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Week 6 stat list update


It’s a young team this year, so not many players near the top of the charts, but here are a few notes.

Rushing
JJ DiLuigi’s 16 yards on Saturday were enough to move him into the top 15 in career rushing yards, moving ahead of Hema Heimuli.

Receiving
McKay Jacobsen now has 105 receptions in his career at BYU, tied with Trevor Molini at #26 on the list. He passed up Bryce Doman this week.

Receiving Yards
Jacobsen is now in the top 20 in career receiving yards, passing up former BYU tight end Clay Brown and is three yards behind Todd Watkins.

Passing
Riley Nelson is #30 in career passing yards at BYU, just ahead of Blaine Fowler and Royce Bybee, just behind Drew Miller.

Passer Rating
Nelson’s career passer rating is 140.7, just below Kevin Feterik, just above Gary Sheide.

Coaching
Bronco Mendenhall has 23 losses in his career at BYU, the same as Gary Crowton had — but 2.3 times more wins.

Tackles
This Brandon Ogletree became the 159th BYU player with 100+ career tackles.

Interceptions
There are 6 players on the 2011 team with 2 career interceptions (Jordan Pendleton, Daniel Sorensen, Travis Uale, Brandon Ogletree, Jameson Frazier, Kyle Van Noy)

Penalties
The 2011 team is on track to be the least penalized team on record since at least 1975.

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